FIN 605: ECONOMETRICS
Fall 2005


Professor Pin-Huang Chou
choup@cc.ncu.edu.tw
886-3-4227151 ext 66270
http://www.mgt.ncu.edu.tw/~chou


 

Introduction

This is a course in introductory econometrics. This means that it will cover statistical topics that are of interest in econometrics and probably other related fields. Basically it will cover linear regression analysis of single-equation and multiple-equation models. The course in intended as an introduction to econometric models, and to be a useful prerequisite to further study in advanced (theoretical) econometrics, especially that is of interest to (empirical) study in finance.

The prerequisites for the course are a basic knowledge of statistics and a little bit of matrix algebra. Students should have had at least one semester course in statistics. There is no requirement for linear algebra, but some familiarity with matrices is necessary.

There will be a midterm on Wednesday, November 24, and a final exam on Wednesday, January 12. There will also be some problem sets to do during  the semester, and hopefully some that require computing with certain econometric software (e.g., Gauss, SAS, TSP, EViews); being familiar with some
econometric software(s) is not required, but will prove to be very helpful when you are in the stage of writing a thesis.

Textbooks

  1. There is no required textbook for this course. But I will recommend two:
    1. Greene, Econometric Analysis, 5th ed., Prentice Hall, 2003. (a newer and comprehensive book).
    2. Johnston and DiNardo, 1997, Econometric Methods, 4th Edition, New York: McGraw-Hill.

The following books will also be referred from time to time.

 Additional Reference

  1. (Chinese Reference Book) 鍾惠民、吳壽山、周賓凰、范懷文,2002,財金計量,雙葉出版社。
  2. Kennedy, A Guide to Econometrics, 3rd ed., MIT Press, 1992. (simple and yet containing good exposition of econometric concepts; good for beginners).
  3. Judge, et al, The Theory and Practice of Econometrics, 2nd ed., Wiley, 1985. (a good reference, yet a little out-dated).


 

Grading

Midterm exam

35%

Final exam

40%

Assignments

15%

Class participation

10%


 

Class Hours: Wednesday, 2:00 -- 4:50 PM.

Calendar: 9/14, 9/21, 9/28 (no class), 10/5, 10/12, 10/19, 10/26, 11/2, 11/9 (midterm), 11/16, 11/23, 11/30, 12/7, 12/14, 12/21, 12/28, 1/4. 2005/1/11 (Final exam).

Assignment #1 (due at 10/12)

Select a stock or index or mutual fund of you choice from the TEJ database. Using weekly data from 1995 to 2000. Perform the following tests using SAS:

  1. Examine if the average return is the same before and after July 1 of 1997. Consider 2 cases: equal variance and unequal variance.
  2. Examine if the returns conform to normality using "proc univariate."


Assignment #2 (due at 11/2)

Perform regression analyses on the Fama-French three-factor model, as we discussed in class, for the smallest and largest size portfolios using the US stock market data. Remember that the dependent variables are excess returns, which are the raw returns minus the riskfree rate.
Test the following joint hypotheses:
(1)  b0 = 0 and b1 = 1.
(2) b1 = b2 = b3 = 0;

The data can be retrieved from French's homepage as follows.
Kenneth R. French - Data Library (
http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html)


 

Assignment #3 (due at 11/30)

Test the above two hypotheses allowing for heteroscedasticity in the error terms. (Hint: using SAS "acov" command.) Also, examine the serial correlation in the error terms is significant.

Assignment #4 (due at 12/14)

Test the above two hypotheses allowing for first-order serial correlation in the error terms. (Hint: using SAS "autoreg" procedure.) Also, examine if the error terms exhibit significant ARCH phenomenon). Re-test the two hypotheses under AR(1)-GARCH (1,1) errors.

Assignment #5 (due at 1/4/2005)

Fitting the Fama-French factors and the momentum factor with appropriate ARIMA models.